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HomeMy WebLinkAboutTIA - 6800 Carolina Beach Road 3-1-236800 Carolina Beach Road Development Traffic Impact Analysis Wilmington, North Carolina TRAFFIC IMPACT ANALYSIS FOR 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development LOCATED IN WILMINGTON, NC Prepared For: Tanner Postal Commercial Real Estate, LLC Prepared By: Infrastructure Consulting Services, Inc. dba Ramey Kemp Associates 5808 Faringdon Place Raleigh, NC 27609 License #F-1489 March 2023 RKA Project No. 22538 Prepared By: AMI Reviewed By: CTS PR OFESS IO N A L E NG INEER N ORTHCARO LINA SEAL 047945 HTIMS .T ESA HC TRAFFIC IMPACT ANALYSIS 6800 CAROLINA BEACH ROAD DEVELOPMENT WILMINGTON, NORTH CAROLINA EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1. Development Overview A Traffic Impact Analysis (TIA) was conducted for the proposed mixed-use development to be located at 6800 Carolina Beach Road in Wilmington, North Carolina. The proposed development, anticipated to be completed in 2024, is assumed to consist of a convenience store with 16 fueling positions and 128 multifamily units. Site access is proposed via one full movement driveway along Carolina Beach Road which will create a fourth leg with the Carolina Beach Road/Myrtle Grove Road intersection, and one right-in/right-out driveway along Carolina Beach Road, south of Myrtle Grove Road. The study analyzes traffic conditions during the weekday AM and PM peak hours for the following scenarios: • 2022 Existing Traffic Conditions • 2024 No-Build Traffic Conditions • 2024 Build Traffic Conditions 2. Existing Traffic Conditions The study area for the TIA was determined through coordination with the WMPO and consists of the following existing intersections: • US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and SR 1492 (Myrtle Grove Road) • US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Southern Charm Drive/Hill Valley Walk • US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Median Crossover (north of SR 1492) Existing peak hour traffic volumes were determined based on traffic counts conducted at the study intersection listed above, November of 2022 during a typical weekday AM (7:00 AM – 9:00 AM) and PM (4:00 PM – 6:00 PM) peak periods while schools were in session. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | E-2 3. Site Trip Generation Average weekday daily, AM peak hour, and PM peak hour trips for the proposed development were estimated using methodology contained within the ITE Trip Generation Manual, 11th Edition. Table E-1 provides a summary of the trip generation potential for the site. Table E-1: Site Trip Generation Land Use (ITE Code) Intensity Daily Traffic (vpd) Weekday AM Peak Hour Trips (vph) Weekday PM Peak Hour Trips (vph) Enter Exit Enter Exit Multifamily Low-Rise (220) 128 units 896 15 48 48 28 Convenience Store with Gas Station (6 KSF) (945) 16 fueling positions 5,532 253 253 215 215 Total Trips 6,428 268 301 263 243 Pass-By Trips (limited to 10% of the adjacent street traffic volumes) -119 -119 -129 -129 Total Primary Trips 149 182 134 114 4. Future Traffic Conditions Through coordination with the WMPO, it was determined that an annual growth rate of 1.5% would be used to generate 2024 projected weekday AM and PM peak hour traffic volumes. Based on coordination with WMPO, it was determined there were no adjacent developments or future roadway improvements to consider with this study. 5. Capacity Analysis Summary The analysis considered weekday AM and PM peak hour traffic for 2022 existing, 2024 no-build, and 2024 build conditions. Refer to Section 7 of the TIA for the capacity analysis summary performed at each study intersection. 6. Recommendations Based on the findings of this study, specific geometric and traffic control improvements have been identified at study intersections. The improvements are summarized below and are illustrated in Figure E-1. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | E-3 Recommended Improvements by Developer US 421(Carolina Beach Road) and SR 1492 (Myrtle Grove Road)/Site Access A • Construct the Site Access A with two egress lanes (one left-turn lane and one shared through-right) and one ingress lane. • Restripe the westbound approach of Myrtle Grove Road to allow for a shared left/through lane. • Construct an exclusive southbound right-turn lane with at least 100 feet of storage and appropriate taper. • Modify signal and timings as needed. US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Site Access B • Construct Site Access B with one egress and one ingress lane restricted to allow right-in/right-out movements only. • Construct an exclusive southbound right-turn lane that maximizes storage length between Site Access B and the signalized intersection of US 421/Myrtle Grove Road. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale SITE Access A N Access B N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive Improvement by Developer Figure E-1 Recommended Lane Configurations LEGEND Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Existing Lane X'Storage (In Feet) Left-Over Intersection Channelized Ch a n n e l i z e d 1 5 0 ' 12 5 ' 15 0 ' 55 0 ' 22 5 ' 57 5 ' 57 5 ' 57 5 ' 350'10 0 ' Fu l l 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | i TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................ 1 1.1.Site Location and Study Area ................................................................. 1 1.2.Proposed Land Use and Site Access ........................................................ 2 1.3.Adjacent Land Uses ............................................................................. 2 1.4.Existing Roadways ............................................................................... 2 2. 2022 EXISTING PEAK HOUR CONDITIONS ......................................... 6 2.1.2022 Existing Peak Hour Traffic Volumes ................................................. 6 2.2.Analysis of 2022 Existing Peak Hour Traffic Conditions ............................... 6 3. 2024 NO-BUILD PEAK HOUR CONDITIONS ........................................ 8 3.1.Ambient Traffic Growth ......................................................................... 8 3.2.Adjacent Development Traffic ................................................................ 8 3.3.Future Roadway Improvements ............................................................. 8 3.4.2024 No-Build Peak Hour Traffic Volumes ................................................ 8 3.5.Analysis of 2024 No-Build Peak Hour Traffic Conditions .............................. 8 4. SITE TRIP GENERATION AND DISTRIBUTION .................................. 10 4.1.Trip Generation .................................................................................. 10 4.2.Site Trip Distribution and Assignment .................................................... 11 5. 2024 BUILD TRAFFIC CONDITIONS ................................................. 19 5.1.2024 Build Peak Hour Traffic Volumes .................................................... 19 5.2.Analysis of 2024 Build Peak Hour Traffic Conditions .................................. 19 6. TRAFFIC ANALYSIS PROCEDURE ..................................................... 21 6.1.Adjustments to Analysis Guidelines ....................................................... 21 7. CAPACITY ANALYSIS ...................................................................... 22 7.1.US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) SR 1492 (Myrtle Grove Road) ..................... 22 7.2.US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Median Crossover ............................... 24 7.3.US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Southern Charm Drive/Hill Valley Walk ............................................................................................. 25 7.4.US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Site Access B ..................................... 27 8. CONCLUSIONS ................................................................................ 28 9. RECOMMENDATIONS ...................................................................... 29 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | ii LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1 – Site Location Map ....................................................................... 3 Figure 2 – Preliminary Site Plan ................................................................... 4 Figure 3 – Existing Lane Configurations ........................................................ 5 Figure 4 – 2022 Existing Peak Hour Traffic .................................................... 7 Figure 5 – 2024 No-Build Peak Hour Traffic ................................................... 9 Figure 6 – Residential Site Trip Distribution ................................................. 12 Figure 7 – Commercial Primary Site Trip Distribution .................................... 13 Figure 8 – Residential Site Trip Assignment ................................................. 14 Figure 9 – Commercial Primary Site Trip Assignment .................................... 15 Figure 10 – Commercial Pass-By Site Trip Distribution .................................. 16 Figure 11 – Commercial Pass-by Site Trip Assignment .................................. 17 Figure 12 – Total Site Trip Assignment ....................................................... 18 Figure 13 – 2024 Build Peak Hour Traffic .................................................... 20 Figure 14 – Recommended Lane Configurations ........................................... 30 LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Existing Roadway Inventory ........................................................... 2 Table 2: Trip Generation Summary ............................................................. 10 Table 3: Highway Capacity Manual – Levels-of-Service and Delay .................... 21 Table 4: Analysis Summary of US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) SR 1492 (Myrtle Grove Road) ............................................................................................ 22 Table 5: Analysis Summary of US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Median Crossover .................................................................................................... 24 Table 6: Analysis Summary of US 421 (Carolina Beach Road and Southern Charm Drive/Hill Valley Walk ...................................................................... 25 Table 7: Analysis Summary of US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Site Access B 27 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | iii TECHNICAL APPENDIX Appendix A: Scoping Documentation Appendix B: Traffic Counts Appendix C: Signal Plans Appendix D: Capacity Calculations – US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and SR 1492 (Myrtle Grove Road) Appendix E: Capacity Calculations – US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Median Crossover Appendix F: Capacity Calculations – US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Southern Charm Drive/Hill Valley Walk Appendix G: Capacity Calculations – US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Site Access B Appendix H: SimTraffic Queuing Reports TRAFFIC IMPACT ANALYSIS 6800 CAROLINA BEACH ROAD DEVELOPMENT WILMINGTON, NORTH CAROLINA 1. INTRODUCTION The contents of this report present the findings of the Traffic Impact Analysis (TIA) conducted for the proposed mixed-use development to be located at 6800 Carolina Beach Road in Wilmington, North Carolina. The purpose of this study is to determine the potential impacts to the surrounding transportation system created by traffic generated by the proposed development, as well as recommend improvements to mitigate the impacts. The proposed development, anticipated to be completed in 2024, is assumed to consist of a convenience store with 16 fueling positions and 128 multifamily units. The study analyzes traffic conditions during the weekday AM and PM peak hours for the following scenarios: • 2022 Existing Traffic Conditions • 2024 No-Build Traffic Conditions • 2024 Build Traffic Conditions 1.1. Site Location and Study Area The development is proposed to be located at 6800 Carolina Beach Road in Wilmington, North Carolina. Refer to Figure 1 for the site location map. The study area for the TIA was determined through coordination with the Wilmington Urban Area Metropolitan Planning Organization and consists of the following existing intersections: • US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and SR 1492 (Myrtle Grove Road) • US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Southern Charm Drive/Hill Valley Walk • US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Median Crossover (north of SR 1492) Refer to Appendix A for the approved scoping documentation. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 2 1.2. Proposed Land Use and Site Access The site is expected to be located at 6800 Carolina Beach Road. The proposed development, anticipated to be completed in 2024, is assumed to consist of a convenience store with 16 fueling positions and 128 multifamily units. Site access is proposed via one full movement driveway along Carolina Beach Road which will create a fourth leg with the Carolina Beach Road/Myrtle Grove Road intersection, and one right-in/right-out driveway along Carolina Beach Road, south of Myrtle Grove Road. Refer to Figure 2 for a copy of the preliminary site plan. 1.3. Adjacent Land Uses The proposed development is located in an area consisting primarily of residential development and some commercial development. 1.4. Existing Roadways Existing lane configurations (number of traffic lanes on each intersection approach), storage capacities, and other intersection and roadway information within the study area are shown in Figure 3. Table 1 provides a summary of this information, as well. Table 1: Existing Roadway Inventory Road Name Route Number Typical Cross Section Speed Limit 2021 AADT (vpd) Carolina Beach Road US 421 4-lane divided 55 mph 36,000 Myrtle Grove Road SR 1492 2-lane undivided 45 mph 6,000 Southern Charm Drive/Hill Valley Walk N/A 2-lane undivided Not Posted 360* *ADT based on the traffic counts from 2022 and assuming the weekday PM peak hour volume is 10% of the average daily traffic. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale N LEGEND Study Intersection Proposed Site Access Study Area Site Location Map Myrtle Grove Road Figure 1 421 PROPOSED SITE UP UPUP UP B1 XX12 A3-21 B1 XX18 A3-21 A3 XX16 A3-13 A3 XX14 A3-13 B2 XX11 A3-22 B2 XX17 A3-22 A1 XX15 A3-11 A1 XX13 A3-11 UP UP U P UP B1 XX 1 2 A3 - 2 1 B1 XX 1 8 A3 - 2 1 A3 XX 1 6 A3 - 1 3 A3 XX 1 4 A3 - 1 3 B2 XX 1 1 A3 - 2 2 B2 XX 1 7 A3 - 2 2 A1 XX 1 5 A3 - 1 1 A1 XX 1 3 A3 - 1 1 UP UP UP UP B1 XX12 A3-21 B1 XX18 A3-21 A3 XX16 A3-13 A3 XX14 A3-13 B2 XX11 A3-22 B2 XX17 A3-22A1 XX15 A3-11 A1XX13 A3-11 UP UP UP UP B 1 XX 1 2 A3 - 2 1 B1 XX 1 8 A3 - 2 1 A3 XX 1 6 A3 - 1 3 A3 XX 1 4 A3 - 1 3 B2 XX 1 1 A3 - 2 2 B2 XX 1 7 A3 - 2 2 A 1 XX 1 5 A3 - 1 1 A 1 XX 1 3 A3 - 1 1 UP UP UP UP B1 XX12 A3-21 B1 XX18 A3-21 A3 XX16 A3-13 A3 XX14 A3-13 B2 XX11 A3-22 B2 XX17 A3-22A1 XX15 A3-11 A1 XX13 A3-11 U P U P U P U P B 1 X X 1 2 A 3 - 2 1 B 1 X X 1 8 A 3 - 2 1 A 3 X X 1 6 A 3 - 1 3 A 3 X X 1 4 A 3 - 1 3 B 2 X X 1 1 A 3 - 2 2 B 2 X X 1 7 A 3 - 2 2 A 1 X X 1 5 A 3 - 1 1 A 1 X X 1 3 A 3 - 1 1 BUILDING A AREA: 6,049 SF ± BUILDING B AREA: 10,550 SF BUILDING C AREA: 10,550 SF BUILDING D AREA: 10,550 SF BUILDING F AREA: 10,550 SF BUILDING E AREA: 10,550 SF BUILDING G AREA: 10,550 SF MYR T L E G R O V E R D C A R O L I N A B E A C H R D MULTIFAMILY AMENITY AREA 0.71 AC ± SCM POND 0.50 AC ± 25.0' SIDE SETBACK 25.0' SIDE SETBACK 25.0' FRONT SETBACK 30.0' REAR SETBACK 30.0' SIDE SETBACK 30.0' SIDE SETBACK 30.0' SIDE SETBACK 35.0' FRONT SETBACK 18.0' TYP. 22.0' TYP. 18.0' TYP. 2 2 . 0 ' 30 . 0 ' 10.0' 20 . 0 ' 20 . 0 ' 5.0' MIN. 5.0' MIN. 5.0' MIN. SITE DATA TABLE 11.04 ACRESTOTAL SITE AREA DEVELOPMENT DATA: TAX PARCEL IDS ZONING DATA: R-15EXISTING ZONING DISTRICT: 15 UNITS/ACREMAXIMUM DENSITY 128 (MULTIFAMILY)MAXIMUM # PROPOSED UNITS 45'MAXIMUM BUILDING HEIGHT PROPOSED USE:COMMERCIAL MULTIFAMILY PROPOSED MULTIFAMILY SITE DATA: PROPOSED COMMERCIAL SITE DATA: 188 SPACESPROPOSED PARKING 25'MAXIMUM BUILDING HEIGHT 50 SPACESPROPOSED PARKING 9.16 ACRESAREA 1.87 ACRESAREA UNSHADED ZONE XFEMA FLOOD ZONE CLASSIFICATION SITE LEGEND PROPOSED PROPERTY BOUNDARY LINE 6' TALL WOODEN FENCE 26'MAXIMUM FUEL CANOPY HEIGHT EXISTING VEGETATION - REFER TO SURVEY FOR TREE INFO R08200-001-015-000, R08200-001-016-000, R08200-001-021-000, R08200-001-023-000, R08200-001-024-000, R08200-001-025-000, R08200-001-026-000 SITE NOTES THE FOLLOWING ARE CONCEPT APPROXIMATIONS AND MAY ADJUST THROUGH SITE DESIGN: -BUILDING AREAS -BUILDING CONFIGUATION/LAYOUT -PROPOSED PARKING SPACES PROVIDED -PARKIND AND DRIVE AISLE CONFIGURATION -STORMWATER DETENTION POND SIZE AND LOCATION -SIDEWALK CONFIGURATION/LAYOUT THIS DOCUMENT, TOGETHER WITH THE CONCEPTS AND DESIGNS PRESENTED HEREIN, AS AN INSTRUMENT OF SERVICE, IS INTENDED ONLY FOR THE SPECIFIC PURPOSE AND CLIENT FOR WHICH IT WAS PREPARED. REUSE OF AND IMPROPER RELIANCE ON THIS DOCUMENT WITHOUT WRITTEN AUTHORIZATION AND ADAPTATION BY KIMLEY-HORN AND ASSOCIATES, INC. SHALL BE WITHOUT LIABILITY TO KIMLEY-HORN AND ASSOCIATES, INC. NC LICENSE #F-0102 200 SOUTH TRYON STREET, SUITE 200 CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA 28202 PHONE 704-333-5131 C 2023REZONING SITE CONCEPT SHEET 1 of 1 THIS PLAN IS CONCEPTUAL IN NATURE AND HAS BEEN PRODUCED WITHOUT THE BENEFIT OF A SURVEY, CODE RESEARCH, OR CONTACT WITH THE CITY, COUNTY, ETC. 01/18/2023 NORTH 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive LEGEND Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Existing Lane X'Storage (In Feet) SPEED LIMITXX Posted Speed Limit SPEED LIMIT 45 2022 Existing Lane Configurations Figure 3 Left-Over Intersection Channelized Ch a n n e l i z e d 1 5 0 ' 12 5 ' 15 0 ' SPEED LIMIT 55 55 0 ' 22 5 ' 57 5 ' 57 5 ' 57 5 ' 350' 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 6 2. 2022 EXISTING PEAK HOUR CONDITIONS 2.1. 2022 Existing Peak Hour Traffic Volumes Existing peak hour traffic volumes were determined based on traffic counts conducted at the study intersections listed below, in November of 2022 during a typical weekday AM (7:00 AM – 9:00 AM) and PM (4:00 PM – 6:00 PM) peak periods while schools were in session: • US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and SR 1492 (Myrtle Grove Road) • US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Southern Charm Drive/Hill Valley Walk • US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Median Crossover (north of SR 1492) Refer to Figure 4 for 2022 existing weekday AM and PM peak hour traffic volumes. A copy of the count data is located in Appendix B of this report. 2.2. Analysis of 2022 Existing Peak Hour Traffic Conditions The 2022 existing weekday AM and PM peak hour traffic volumes were analyzed to determine the current levels of service at the study intersections under existing roadway conditions. Signal information was obtained from NCDOT and is included in Appendix C. The results of the analysis are presented in Section 7 of this report. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive 2022 Existing Peak Hour Traffic Figure 4 Left-Over Intersection Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Weekday AM / PM Peak Hour TrafficX / Y LEGEND Note: Based on NCDOT Congestion Management guidelines, a volume of 4 vehicles per hour (vph) was analyzed for any movement with less than 4 vph. 421 78 0 / 1 1 0 5 70 / 7 6 28 / 2 8 7/ 2 4 92 2 / 1 2 5 2 2/ 5 29 / 3 3 1/ 1 3 0/ 8 12 3 9 / 1 1 1 8 0/ 0 87 8 / 1 1 9 0 11 7 / 7 2 10 / 1 0 12 3 6 / 1 0 2 5 90/52 144/196 5/ 1 11 4 0 / 9 6 4 14 3 / 1 8 5 4/5 2/4 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 8 3. 2024 NO-BUILD PEAK HOUR CONDITIONS In order to account for growth of traffic and subsequent traffic conditions at a future year, no- build traffic projections are needed. No-build traffic is the component of traffic due to the growth of the community and surrounding area that is anticipated to occur regardless of whether or not the proposed development is constructed. No-build traffic is comprised of existing traffic growth within the study area and additional traffic created as a result of adjacent approved developments. 3.1. Ambient Traffic Growth Through coordination with the WMPO, it was determined that an annual growth rate of 1.5% would be used to generate 2024 projected weekday AM and PM peak hour traffic volumes. 3.2. Adjacent Development Traffic Based on coordination with WMPO, it was determined there were no adjacent developments to consider with this study. 3.3. Future Roadway Improvements Based on coordination with the WMPO, it was determined there were no future roadway improvements to consider with this study. 3.4. 2024 No -Build Peak Hour Traffic Volumes The 2024 no-build traffic volumes were determined by projecting the 2022 existing peak hour traffic to the year 2024. Refer to Figure 5 for an illustration of the 2024 no-build peak hour traffic volumes at the study intersections. 3.5. Analysis of 2024 No-Build Peak Hour Traffic Conditions The 2024 no-build AM and PM peak hour traffic volumes at the study intersections were analyzed with existing geometric roadway conditions and traffic control. The analysis results are presented in Section 7 of this report. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive 2024 No-Build Peak Hour Traffic Figure 5 Left-Over Intersection Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Weekday AM / PM Peak Hour TrafficX / Y LEGEND Note: Based on NCDOT Congestion Management guidelines, a volume of 4 vehicles per hour (vph) was analyzed for any movement with less than 4 vph. 421 80 4 / 1 1 3 8 72 / 7 8 29 / 2 9 7/ 2 5 95 0 / 1 2 9 0 2/ 5 30 / 3 4 1/ 1 3 0/ 8 12 7 6 / 1 1 5 2 0/ 0 90 5 / 1 2 2 6 12 1 / 7 4 10 / 1 0 12 7 3 / 1 0 5 6 93/54 148/202 5/ 1 11 7 4 / 9 9 3 14 7 / 1 9 1 4/5 2/4 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 10 4. SITE TRIP GENERATION AND DISTRIBUTION 4.1. Trip Generation Average weekday daily, AM peak hour, and PM peak hour trips for the proposed development were estimated using methodology contained within the ITE Trip Generation Manual, 11th Edition. Table 2 provides a summary of the trip generation potential for the site. Table 2: Trip Generation Summary Land Use (ITE Code) Intensity Daily Traffic (vpd) Weekday AM Peak Hour Trips (vph) Weekday PM Peak Hour Trips (vph) Enter Exit Enter Exit Multifamily Low-Rise (220) 128 units 896 15 48 48 28 Convenience Store with Gas Station (6 KSF) (945) 16 fueling positions 5,532 253 253 215 215 Total Trips 6,428 268 301 263 243 Pass-By Trips (limited to 10% of the adjacent street traffic volumes) -119 -119 -129 -129 Total Primary Trips 149 182 134 114 It is estimated that the proposed development will generate approximately 6,428 total site trips on the roadway network during a typical 24-hour weekday period. Of the daily traffic volume, it is anticipated that 569 trips (268 entering and 301 exiting) will occur during the weekday AM peak hour and 506 trips (263 entering and 243 exiting) will occur during the weekday PM peak hour. Pass-by trips were also taken into consideration in this study. Pass -by trips are made by the traffic already using the adjacent roadway, entering the site (commercial uses only) as an intermediate stop on their way to another destination. Pass-by trips are expected to account for approximately 238 trips (119 entering and 119 exiting) during the weekday AM peak hour and approximately 258 trips (129 entering and 129 exiting) during the weekday PM peak hour. It should be noted that the pass-by trips were balanced, as it is likely that these trips would enter and exit in the same hour. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 11 The total primary site trips are the calculated site trips after the reduction for pass-by trips. Primary (new) site trips are expected to account for approximately 331 trips (149 entering and 182 exiting) during the weekday AM peak hour and 248 trips (134 entering and 114 exiting) during the weekday PM peak hour. 4.2. Site Trip Distribution and Assignment Trip distribution percentages used in assigning site traffic for this development were estimated based on a combination of existing traffic patterns, population centers adjacent to the study area, and engineering judgment. It is estimated that the residential and commercial (primary) site trips will be regionally distributed as follows: • 60% to/from the north via US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) • 30% to/from the south via US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) • 10% to/from the east via SR 1492 (Myrtle Grove Road) The residential site trip distribution is shown in Figure 6 and the commercial (primary) site trip distribution is shown in Figure 7 Refer to Figure 8 for the residential site trip assignment and Figure 9 for the commercial (primary) site trip assignment. The pass-by site trips were distributed based on existing traffic patterns with consideration given to the proposed driveway access and site layout. Refer to Figure 10 for the pass-by site trip distribution. Pass-by site trips are shown in Figure 11. The total site trips were determined by adding the primary site trips and the pass-by site trips. Refer to Figure 12 for the total peak hour site trips at the study intersections. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale SITE Access A N Access B N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive 10% 60% 60 % (60%) (10%) (25%)30 % Residential Site Trip Distribution Figure 6 30% (3 0 % ) 30 % 60 % (6 0 % ) (2 5 % ) (5%) 30 % 10% XX% Entering Trip Distribution Exiting Trip Distribution Regional Trip Distribution Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Right-In/Right-Out Intersection X% (Y%) LEGEND Left-Over Intersection 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale SITE Access A N Access B N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive 10% 60% 20 % 40 % (60%) (10%) 30 % Commercial Primary Site Trip Distribution Figure 7 30% (3 0 % ) 30 % 60 % (6 0 % ) 40 % (30%) 30 % 10% XX% Entering Trip Distribution Exiting Trip Distribution Regional Trip Distribution Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Right-In/Right-Out Intersection X% (Y%) LEGEND Left-Over Intersection 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale SITE Access A N Access B N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive Residential Site Trip Assignment Figure 8 Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Weekday AM / PM Peak Hour Site TripsX / Y LEGEND Right-In/Right-Out Intersection Left-Over Intersection 9/ 2 9 29/17 5/3 12/7 5/ 1 4 5/ 1 4 14 / 8 9/ 2 9 29 / 1 7 12 / 7 2/1 5/ 1 4 1/5 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale SITE Access A N Access B N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive Commercial Primary Site Trip Assignment Figure 9 Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Weekday AM / PM Peak Hour Site TripsX / Y LEGEND Right-In/Right-Out Intersection Left-Over Intersection 27 / 1 7 54 / 3 4 81/51 13/9 40 / 2 6 40 / 2 6 40 / 2 6 81 / 5 1 81 / 5 1 54 / 3 4 40/26 40 / 2 6 13/9 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale SITE Access A N Access B N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive Pass-By Site Trip Distribution Figure 10 Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Weekday AM / PM Pass-By Trip Distribution X% / Y% Right-In/Right-Out Intersection LEGEND Left-Over Intersection 5% / 5 % -5 % / - 5 % 30%/30% 10%/10% 35 % / 3 5 % - 3 0 % / - 3 0 % -5 % / - 5 % 60 % / 6 0 % -6 0 % / - 6 0 % 60%/60% 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale SITE Access A N Access B N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive Figure 11 Pass-By Site Trip Assignment Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Weekday AM / PM Peak Hour Site TripsX / Y LEGEND Right-In/Right-Out Intersection Left-Over Intersection 6/ 7 -6 / - 7 36/39 12/13 42 / 4 5 - 3 6 / - 3 9 -6 / - 6 71 / 7 7 -7 1 / - 7 7 71/77 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale SITE Access A N Access B N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive Total Site Trip Assignment Figure 12 Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Weekday AM / PM Peak Hour Site TripsX / Y LEGEND Right-In/Right-Out Intersection Left-Over Intersection 42 / 5 3 54 / 3 4 -6 / - 7 146/107 30/25 12/7 87 / 8 5 -3 6 / - 3 9 -6 / - 6 45 / 4 0 54 / 3 4 90 / 8 0 11 0 / 6 8 12 5 / 1 1 1 -5 9 / - 7 0 113/104 45 / 4 0 14/14 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 19 5. 2024 BUILD TRAFFIC CONDITIONS 5.1. 2024 Build Peak Hour Traffic Volumes To estimate traffic conditions with the site fully built-out, the total site trips were added to the 2024 no-build traffic volumes to determine the 2024 build traffic volumes. Refer to Figure 13 for an illustration of the 2024 build peak hour traffic volumes with the proposed site fully developed. 5.2. Analysis of 2024 Build Peak Hour Traffic Conditions Study intersections were analyzed with the 2024 build traffic volumes using the same methodology previously discussed for existing and no-build traffic conditions. The results of the capacity analysis for each intersection are presented in Section 7 of this report. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale SITE Access A N Access B N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive Figure 13 2024 Build Peak Hour Traffic 12 5 / 1 1 1 89 8 / 1 2 7 1 113/104 13 7 1 / 1 2 2 5 Left-Over Intersection Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Weekday AM / PM Peak Hour TrafficX / Y LEGEND Note: Based on NCDOT Congestion Management guidelines, a volume of 4 vehicles per hour (vph) was analyzed for any movement with less than 4 vph. 7/ 2 5 10 0 4 / 1 3 2 4 2/ 5 30 / 3 4 1/ 1 3 0/ 8 13 2 1 / 1 1 9 2 0/ 0 99 5 / 1 3 0 6 12 1 / 7 4 10 / 1 0 13 8 3 / 1 1 2 4 4/5 2/4 Right-In/Right-Out Intersection 42 / 5 3 85 8 / 1 1 7 2 66 / 7 1 29 / 2 9 146/107 30/25 12/7 5/ 1 87 / 8 5 11 3 8 / 9 5 4 14 1 / 1 8 5 93/54 14/14 148/202 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 21 6. TRAFFIC ANALYSIS PROCEDURE Study intersections were analyzed using the methodology outlined in the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM), 6th Edition published by the Transportation Research Board. Capacity and level of service are the design criteria for this traffic study. A computer software package, Synchro (Version 10.3), was used to complete the analyses for the study area intersections. Please note that the unsignalized capacity analysis does not provide an overall level of service for an intersection; only delay for an approach with a conflicting movement. The HCM defines capacity as “the maximum hourly rate at which persons or vehicles can reasonably be expected to traverse a point or uniform section of a lane or roadway during a given time period under prevailing roadway, traffic, and control conditions.” Level of service (LOS) is a term used to represent different driving conditions, and is defined as a “qualitative measure describing operational conditions within a traffic stream, and their perception by motorists and/or passengers.” Level of service varies from Level “A” representing free flow, to Level “F” where breakdown conditions are evident. Refer to Table 3 for HCM levels of service and related average control delay per vehicle for both signalized and unsignalized intersections. Control delay as defined by the HCM includes “initial deceleration delay, queue move-up time, stopped delay, and final acceleration delay”. An average control delay of 50 seconds at a signalized intersection results in LOS “D” operation at the intersection. Table 3: Highway Capacity Manual – Levels-of-Service and Delay UNSIGNALIZED INTERSECTION SIGNALIZED INTERSECTION LEVEL OF SERVICE AVERAGE CONTROL DELAY PER VEHICLE (SECONDS) LEVEL OF SERVICE AVERAGE CONTROL DELAY PER VEHICLE (SECONDS) A B C D E F 0-10 10-15 15-25 25-35 35-50 >50 A B C D E F 0-10 10-20 20-35 35-55 55-80 >80 6.1. Adjustments to Analysis Guidelines Capacity analysis at all study intersections was completed according to the NCDOT Congestion Management Guidelines. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 22 7. CAPACITY ANALYSIS 7.1. US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and SR 1492 (Myrtle Grove Road) The existing signalized intersection was analyzed under all traffic conditions with the lane configurations and traffic control shown in Table 4. Refer to Table 4 for a summary of the analysis results. Refer to Appendix D for the Synchro capacity analysis reports. Table 4: Analysis Summary of US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) SR 1492 (Myrtle Grove Road)/Site Access A ANALYSIS SCENARIO LANE GROUP Existing Storage (ft) Weekday AM Peak Hour Weekday PM Peak Hour Queue (ft) Lane LOS Delay (sec) Approach LOS (sec) Overall LOS (sec) Queue (ft) Lane LOS Delay (sec) Approach LOS (sec) Overall LOS (sec) 95th Max 95th Max 2022 Existing Conditions WBL 350 128 171 C 33 C (20) B (11) 152 194 C 29 C (23) B (12) WBR * 0 59 A 0 0 50 A 0 NBU 125 4 31 A 4 4 33 A 5 NBT (2) -- 302 187 B 15 B (13) 243 154 B 16 B (14) NBR 150 0 98 A 0 0 78 A 0 SBU/L 150 30 124 A 7 A (5) 33 100 A 8 A (8) SBT (2) -- 107 118 A 5 176 143 A 8 2024 No-Build Conditions WBL 350 142 162 D 38 C (23) B (13) 168 188 C 33 C (26) B (14) WBR * 0 77 A 0 0 59 A 0 NBU 125 4 31 A 4 3 31 A 5 NBT (2) -- 331 214 B 16 B (14) 265 203 B 18 B (15) NBR 150 0 91 A 0 0 52 A 0 SBU/L 150 110 142 D 39 A (9) 102 140 C 34 B (10) SBT (2) -- 110 145 A 5 182 151 A 8 2024 Build Conditions EBL -- 183 115 D 45 D (41) C (24) 142 158 D 44 D (41) C (26) EBT/R -- 57 50 C 30 48 92 C 30 WBL/T 350 191 115 D 40 C (25) 259 244 D 46 D (37) WBR * 0 103 A 0 0 52 A 0 NBU/L 125 134 206 D 47 C (23) 130 167 D 51 C (22) NBT (2) -- 473 247 C 23 386 225 C 24 NBR 150 0 52 A 0 0 66 A 0 SBU/L 150 134 244 D 47 C (22) 142 244 D 50 C (26) SBT (2) -- 313 327 B 19 502 428 C 25 SBR 100 55 200 B 15 47 200 B 16 *Channelized Improvements to lane configurations are shown in bold. Capacity analysis indicates that the intersection is expected to operate at an overall LOS B during the weekday AM and PM peak hours under existing and no-build traffic conditions. As mentioned previously, Site Access A is proposed to form the fourth leg at the signalized 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 23 intersection. With the addition of Site Access A under build traffic conditions, the intersection is expected to operate at an overall LOS C during the weekday AM and PM peak hours. Additionally, the mainlines (northbound/southbound) approaches are expected to operate at LOS C while the minor streets (eastbound/westbound) approaches are expected to operate at LOS D or better. Under build traffic conditions, with the addition of a southbound right turn lane the intersection is expected to operate under capacity with all approaches and movements operating at acceptable levels (LOS D or better). 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 24 7.2. US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Median Crossover The existing unsignalized u-turn location was analyzed under all traffic conditions with existing lane configurations and traffic control shown in Table 5. Refer to Table 5 for a summary of the analysis results. Refer to Appendix E for the Synchro capacity analysis reports. Table 5: Analysis Summary of US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Median Crossover ANALYSIS SCENARIO N O D E LANE GROUP Existing Storage (ft) Weekday AM Peak Hour Weekday PM Peak Hour Queue (ft) Lane LOS Delay (sec) Approach LOS (sec) Overall LOS (sec) Queue (ft) Lane LOS Delay (sec) Approach LOS (sec) Overall LOS (sec) 95th Max 95th Max 2022 Existing Conditions 4 WBL* 575 3 37 B 12 B1 (12) N/A 3 41 B 14 B1 (14) N/A SBT(2) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5 EBL** 575 38 150 C 19 C1 (19) 15 79 B 15 B1 (15) NBT(2) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 2024 No-Build Conditions 4 WBL* 575 3 34 B 12 B1 (12) N/A 3 49 B 15 B1 (15) N/A SBT(2) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5 EBL** 575 40 142 C 20 C1 (20) 18 89 C 15 C1 (15) NBT(2) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 2024 Build Conditions 4 WBL* 575 3 33 B 13 B1 (13) N/A 3 29 C 15 C1 (15) N/A SBT(2) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5 EBL** 575 45 164 C 23 C1 (23) 18 76 C 16 C1 (16) NBT(2) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- *Due to lane configuration in Synchro, the northbound u-turn was analyzed as a westbound left-turn lane. ** Due to lane configuration in Synchro, the southbound u-turn was analyzed as an eastbound left-turn lane. 1. Level of service for major-street left-turn movement. Capacity analysis indicates that the northbound and southbound u-turn movements at the unsignalized Median Crossover are expected to operate at LOS C or better during the weekday AM and PM peak hours for all traffic conditions. When comparing build to no-build conditions, all levels of service are expected to be maintained with the exception of the northbound u-turn movement; however, the delay is not expected to increase by more than 1 second. Additionally, all queues are expected to be contained within the existing turn lane geometry. Due to acceptable levels of service and minimal impact from the proposed development, no improvements are recommended. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 25 7.3. US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Southern Charm Drive/Hill Valley Walk The existing unsignalized intersection analyzed under all traffic conditions with the lane configurations and traffic control shown in Table 6. Refer to Table 6 for a summary of the analysis results. Refer to Appendix F for the Synchro capacity analysis reports. Table 6: Analysis Summary of US 421 (Carolina Beach Road and Southern Charm Drive/Hill Valley Walk ANALYSIS SCENARIO N O D E LANE GROUP Existing Storage (ft) Weekday AM Peak Hour Weekday PM Peak Hour Queue (ft) Lane LOS Delay (sec) Approach LOS (sec) Overall LOS (sec) Queue (ft) Lane LOS Delay (sec) Approach LOS (sec) Overall LOS (sec) 95th Max 95th Max 2022 Existing Conditions 2 EBL/T* 550 10 70 C 20 C1 (20) N/A 13 58 C 18 C1 (18) N/A WBR -- 0 25 B 14 B2 (14) 0 25 B 14 B2 (14) NBT/TR -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 3 EBR -- 0 26 B 12 B2 (12) 0 30 B 15 B2 (15) WBL/T** 575 3 29 C 17 C1 (17) 10 37 C 24 C1 (24) SBT(2) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- SBR 225 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 2024 No-Build Conditions 2 EBL/T* 550 13 65 C 20 C1 (20) N/A 13 63 C 19 C1 (19) N/A WBR -- 0 25 B 15 B2 (15) 0 29 B 14 B2 (14) NBT/TR -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 3 EBR -- 0 30 B 12 B2 (12) 0 26 B 15 B2 (15) WBL/T** 575 3 37 C 18 C1 (18) 10 37 D 25 D1 (25) SBT(2) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- SBR 225 -- -- -- -- -- -- 4 -- -- -- 2024 Build Conditions 2 EBL/T* 550 13 57 C 21 C1 (21) N/A 13 62 C 19 C1 (19) N/A WBR -- 0 25 C 15 C2 (15) 0 29 B 14 B2 (14) NBT/TR -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 3 EBR -- 0 25 B 13 B2 (13) 0 25 C 15 C2 (15) WBL/T** 575 3 29 C 19 C1 (19) 10 50 D 26 D1 (26) SBT(2) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- SBR 225 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- *Due to lane configuration in Synchro, the southbound u-turn/left-turn was analyzed as an eastbound left- turn/through lane. ** Due to lane configuration in Synchro, the northbound u-turn/left-turn was analyzed as a westbound left- turn/through lane. 1. Level of service for major-street left-turn movement. 2. Level of service for minor-street approach. Capacity analysis indicates that the major-street left-turn movements at the unsignalized left- over are expected to operate at LOS D or better during the weekday AM and PM peak hours for all traffic conditions. Additionally, the minor-street approaches are expected to operate at 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 26 LOS C or better during both peak hours for all traffic conditions. When comparing build to no-build conditions, all levels of service are expected to be maintained with the exception of the westbound stop-controlled approach (of Hill Valley Walk) during the AM peak hour and the eastbound stop-controlled approach (of Southern Charm Drive) during the PM peak hour; however, these delays are not expected to increase by more than 1 second. Additionally, all queues are expected to be contained within the existing turn lane geometry. Due to acceptable levels of service and minimal impact from the proposed development, no improvements are recommended. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 27 7.4. US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Site Access B The proposed right-in/right-out intersection was analyzed under 2024 build traffic conditions with the lane configurations and traffic control shown in Table 7. Refer to Table 7 for a summary of the analysis results. Refer to Appendix G for the Synchro capacity analysis reports. Table 7: Analysis Summary of US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Site Access B ANALYSIS SCENARIO LANE GROUP Existing Storage (ft) Weekday AM Peak Hour Weekday PM Peak Hour Queue (ft) Lane LOS Delay (sec) Approach LOS (sec) Overall LOS (sec) Queue (ft) Lane LOS Delay (sec) Approach LOS (sec) Overall LOS (sec) 95th Max 95th Max 2024 Build Conditions EBR -- -- 96 -- -- -- N/A -- 120 -- -- -- N/A NBT (2) -- -- 175 -- -- -- -- 110 -- -- -- SBT (2) -- -- 22 -- -- -- -- 24 -- -- -- SBR FULL 23 -- B 14 B1 (14) 33 -- C 19 C1 (19) Improvements to lane configurations are shown in bold. 1. Level of service for minor-street approach. Capacity analysis of 2024 build traffic conditions indicates the minor-street approach at the intersection is expected to operate at LOS C or better during the weekday AM and PM peak hours. A right-turn lane was considered based on the NCDOT Policy on Street and Driveway Access to North Carolina Highways and is recommended on the southbound approach of Carolina Beach Road. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 28 8. CONCLUSIONS This Traffic Impact Analysis was conducted to determine the potential traffic impacts of the proposed mixed-use development to be located at 6800 Carolina Beach Road in Wilmington, North Carolina. The proposed development, anticipated to be completed in 2024, is assumed to consist of a convenience store with 16 fueling positions and 128 multifamily units. Site access is proposed via one full movement driveway along Carolina Beach Road which will create a fourth leg with the Carolina Beach Road/Myrtle Grove Road intersection, and one right-in/right-out driveway along Carolina Beach Road, south of Myrtle Grove Road. The study analyzes traffic conditions during the weekday AM and PM peak hours for the following scenarios: • 2022 Existing Traffic Conditions • 2024 No-Build Traffic Conditions • 2024 Build Traffic Conditions Trip Generation It is estimated that the proposed development will generate approximately 331 new site trips (149 entering and 182 exiting) during the weekday AM peak hour and 248 new site trips (134 entering and 114 exiting) during the weekday PM peak hour. Adjustments to Analysis Guidelines Capacity analysis at all study intersections was completed according to NCDOT Congestion Management Guidelines. Refer to section 6.1 of this report for a detailed description of any adjustments to these guidelines made throughout the analysis. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development | 29 9. RECOMMENDATIONS Based on the findings of this study, specific geometric improvements have been identified and are recommended to accommodate future traffic conditions. See a more detailed description of the recommended improvements below. Refer to Figure 14 for an illustration of the recommended lane configuration for the proposed development. Recommended Improvements by Developer US 421(Carolina Beach Road) and SR 1492 (Myrtle Grove Road)/Site Access A • Construct the Site Access A with two egress lanes (one left-turn lane and one shared through-right) and one ingress lane. • Restripe the westbound approach of Myrtle Grove Road to allow for a shared left/through lane. • Construct an exclusive southbound right-turn lane with at least 100 feet of storage and appropriate taper. • Modify signal and timings as needed. US 421 (Carolina Beach Road) and Site Access B • Construct Site Access B with one egress and one ingress lane restricted to allow right-in/right-out movements only. • Construct an exclusive southbound right-turn lane that maximizes storage length between Site Access B and the signalized intersection of US 421/Myrtle Grove Road. 6800 Carolina Beach Road Development Wilmington, NC Scale: Not to Scale SITE Access A N Access B N Median Crossover Myrtle Grove Road 421 Hill Valley Walk Southern Charm Drive Improvement by Developer Figure 14 Recommended Lane Configurations LEGEND Signalized Intersection Unsignalized Intersection Existing Lane X'Storage (In Feet) Left-Over Intersection Channelized Ch a n n e l i z e d 1 5 0 ' 12 5 ' 15 0 ' 55 0 ' 22 5 ' 57 5 ' 57 5 ' 57 5 ' 350'10 0 ' Fu l l